Three trends that will change marketing and advertising forever
Three trends in marketing and advertising are converging to forever change the landscape of professional marketing services firms. The maturing of addressable media, the decline in the traditional notion of brand and branding strategies, and the rise in marketing accountability are collectively forcing marketers and the agencies (that support them) to rethink traditional, creative led, one size fits all approaches.
1. Addressable Media Matures
No one would argue that the most significant event that occurred in marketing in the last ten years was the opening of the internet to commercial access. Having endured a boom and bust cycle where the channel was revered as the nirvana of marketing to a passing fad and a lost cause, digital marketing has emerged as an integral (if not central) component of today’s marketing mix, bringing new levels of reach, targeting, one-to-one messaging, and accountability. In fact, there is growing evidence that the attributes of internet marketing are setting the standard for other marketing channels.
Numbers back up the above observations. In September 2004, IAB and PricewaterhouseCoopers reported that digital ad spending in the U.S. totaled $2.37 billion in the second quarter, a 42.7% increase over the same quarter in 2003 and the seventh consecutive quarter of growth. Overall, the market today is growing at more than 20% per year, with researcher eMarketer predicting digital ad spending will reach $9.1 billion in 2004, $1 billion more than at the height of the Internet boom. Digital media already has displaced outdoor media as one of the so-called “Big 5” consumer media and is closing rapidly on the other four: radio, magazines, newspapers and television. The IAB/PWC report detailed how online ad spending today is bigger then national radio ad spending, national newspaper ad spending, and the syndicated TV and business to business marketplaces. Furthermore, they went on to predict the market to grow to $11.4 billion in 2008, a number that eMarketer has revised up to $18.5 billion.
When analyzed by annual growth rates, last year’s 20.9% increase can be viewed as the first year of double-digit gains, continuing through the rest of this decade. The 25.2% growth rate in 2004 represents the peak of that climb, with a moderate leveling off in the four years following. Behind this phenomenal growth in online ad spending is the sustained and deepened acceptance of the Internet as an integral part of daily life among companies and individuals alike. Furthermore, it is now viewed by most marketers as the model to judge other channels by as it relates to its global reach, consistent consumption at work and home, flexible and performance-based media compensation models, hyper-targeting, dynamic messaging, and real-time reporting. As more traditional channels become addressable, especially iTV, firms with a solid command and control over the unique and demanding nuances of digital marketing will thrive.
2. Traditional Brands and Strategies Erode
“We must accept the fact that there is no ‘mass’ in ‘mass-media’ anymore.” -Jim Stengel, CMO, Proctor & Gamble.
Over the last 10 years, there has been an onslaught of new brands introduced to the marketplace. Furthermore, advances in computing and telecommunications have swept away traditional media distribution barriers, releasing a Pandora’s Box of new content corresponding with aforementioned rise in goods and services. Since 1991, the number of brands on US grocery store shelves has tripled. Last year, the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office issued an incredible 140,000 trademarks, 100,000 more then in 1983. The average American sees 60% more ad messages per day then when the first President Bush left office.
Marketers may consider the explosion of new brands to be evidence of branding’s importance, but in fact the opposite is true. Despite all of money over the past decade that has been dumped into brand building efforts, consumers today have become less loyal. A study by retail industry tracking firm NPD Group found that 50% of those who described themselves as highly loyal to a brand were no longer loyal a year later. Another study found that just 4% of consumers would be willing to stick with a brand if its competitors offered a better value for the same price[1].
The single biggest explanation for fragile brands is the swelling strength of the consumer. There has been a pronounced jump in the amount of information available about goods and services[2]:
The crush of new media outlets that have become available, especially over the past decade, have had two significant impacts on marketing. First, it has empowered buyers with knowledge from trusted third parties and fellow consumers regarding any product or service they are interested in. As a result, consumers have become far more willing to experiment with less known brands because the amount of new information out their makes their experiment less risky. Studies conducted by AC Nielsen, Consumer Electronic Association, and Consumer Reports confirm this trend.
For Example:
The premium price big name brands can command is plummeting.
Once dominant Sony has lost its lead in a crowd of no-names.
Consumers are more comfortable with store brands.
The second impact that media fragmentation has had has been on the marketing and advertising industry. For consumers, the balkanization of media is straightforward --more content and more choices. For the marketing and advertising industries, the ramifications are more complicated and more taxing[3]:
When media fragment, audiences do, too. By the 1980s, cable TV had shattered network audiences. Now the web is raising the stakes, encouraging consumers to scatter their time across thousands of media niches, from specialty Net radio stations to the latest political blog. The upshot: monolithic blocks of eyeballs are gone. In their place is a perpetually shifting mosaic of audience micro-segments that force marketers to play an endless game of audience hide-and-seek.
Fragmentation spawns inefficiency. In response to fragmentation, many marketers and agencies have adopted a carpet bombing mindset. Saturation can compensate for fragmentation, but only at a tremendous cost, because any given message will inevitably reach some of the intended audience too often -- and other not at all. No surprise then, that the cost to put 30 seconds of TV in front of 1,000 SuperBowl viewers has nearly doubled between 1996 and 2004.
Clutter impairs message recall. Scorched earth marketing strategies comes at a price. The percentage of total TV content devoted to advertising has increased 39% since the early 1960s. Moviegoers suffer though 12 minutes of previews before seeing a film they paid $10 for. A relentless stream of pop-up ads, spam, and now product placement drones away in the background. For consumers, the effect is numbing -- for marketers, it is self-defeating. Adding insult to injury, growing consumer affinity for multitasking, most notably in the form of simultaneous PC and TV use, further devaluates attention.
Media buying gets more expensive. From a media buying perspective, fragmentation means more vendors and more contracts, and thus higher purchasing, administration, and measurement costs.-This partly explains media consolidation efforts like Comcast-Disney, AOL-Time Warner, and Tribune-Times Mirror. Suppliers are simply responding to what marketers are asking for -- efficient access to large blocks of consumers.
In summary, value is shifting to the customer interface as there is both more choice and greater market transparency. The interconnected nature of today’s marketplace also allows for growing concentrations of buying power from consolidations and share shifts. However, many marketers are ill-equipped to deal with this changing landscape because:
Companies have few systems/processes for responding to customer unique demands
· Companies are unsure which customers are strategically important
· There is no clear business system to capture value from customization through premium pricing, volume commitments, or cost savings
· Differentiation is easily matched by competitors which fuels a profitless arms race
3. Accountability is Marketing’s New Mantra
The economic cycle that markting has gone through over the last decade increased the executive focus placed on marketing, thus giving rise to the number of CMOs in the FORTUNE 1,000. They in turn have been tasked with aligning to the growth objectives set by CEOs. Subsequently turning spotlight on marketing programs that deliver tangible results.
After nearly five years of budget slashing and decline, marketing is making a comeback. CMOs are leading the way, crafting strategies to leverage marketing resources, programs and budgets for bottom line benefits. An ANA/Booze Allen study confirmed that marketing has grown more important to corporate success -- not less -- over the last 5 years.
The brands below serve as a small sample of those who created the CMO title over the last three years[4]
· Visa
· Hill & Knowlton
· Siemens Mobile
· Equifax
· MetLife
· Revlon
· GE
· Symantec
· JPMorganChase
· The Bank of New York
· Home Depot
· McDonalds
· CharlesSchwab
· ServiceMaster
· Cigna
· PitneyBowes
Currently, 47% of FORTUNE 1000 Companies have CMOs
Regardless of the increased demand for CMOs, many are struggling to find a seat at the table with their CEO and CFO counterparts. This is mainly a result of many CMOs, until recently, have not being aligned with the objectives of the CEO.
To make matters even more difficult for the CMO, marketing (known more as an art than science) has been the last of the corporate functions to develop and adopt processes and standards that can be tracked and measured quantitatively. Marketing functions and activities that have traditionally gone unmeasured are now subject to the rigors of ROI calculations.
Based on a survey conducted by the CMO Council[5], CMOs now universally understand and believe that measurement of all elements of the marketing mix is critical to their personal success and the success of the company. Marketing Performance Measurement (MPM), according to their survey, is now considered a significant priority and imperative by over 90% of the marketing executives. This motivation is divided between the CMO wanting a seat at the executive table, improved marketing resource allocation, departmental effectiveness, as well as financial and corporate accountability.
However, most of the CMO Council survey respondents have yet to ‘crack the code’ on building an approach that is complete and comprehensive, understood by the executive team, and enjoys their full support. Over 80% of respondent companies are not happy with their ability to measure marketing performance. Only 17% reported that they had a comprehensive system to measure marketing.
Nearly 60% of the survey respondents intended to increase the amount of money they spend in solutions to marketing performance measures (MPM). This will entail a combination of professional services agencies, marketing automation solutions, CRM and sales force automation solutions. Many have begun the transition already -- with massive shifts in their marketing budgets to more measurable/addressable media channels. In the past year alone, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, and General Motors have threatened to cut mass-media TV budgets and promised to bring more accountability to their marketing programs.
[1] “The Declining of Brands,” James Surowiecki, Wired November, 2004. Pg.205
[2] “Left Brain Marketing,” Eric Schmitt, Forrester Research, April 2004
[3] “Left Brain Marketing,” Eric Schmitt, Forrester Research, April 2004
[4] ANA/Booz Allen Analysis 2004
[5] Measures and Metrics: The Marketing Performance Measurement Audit. The CMO Council. June 9, 2004
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